Up to this round, I looked at those friends I used to know in this circle, and basically, they have all fallen back into poverty. Making big money is not difficult; holding on is especially hard. I think when trading, you must stay steady and not anxious. Always remind yourself that not losing is earning, being alive means outperforming many people, and others' profit screenshots are fake. The stories of getting rich quickly only make me anxious. As long as you stick to your own pace without fomo, without anxiety, and without reckless operations, you will definitely win.

Trading is actually a lonely journey; everyone walks a different path that cannot be replicated. You can only share the way, not the technique, because other people's operations will only disrupt your rhythm and bring you no benefit. So when a group of traders gather, they mostly talk about fun places and how to pick up girls, rarely discussing trading itself. Those so-called trader-themed guesthouse towns or learning centers are mostly scams. Various charlatans are waiting to take advantage of you and sell anxiety. So be cautious. You can lose money in trading because you learn from it, but paying tuition to join paid groups is pure loss—you're being harvested and paying an intelligence tax, and on top of that, you get called a dumb chump or a sucker.

Jiang Zhuoer is currently bearish; in the short term, I don't quite understand it, but I can say that the long-term certainty of ETH is very high, and that's enough. My trading logic is that assuming there's a 60% chance of a pullback here and a 40% chance of an upward breakout, I still choose a large position here because I can accept the drawdown but cannot accept the opportunity cost of missing this position. Just like when Bitcoin was at $6,000, I chose to go all in. Later, there was a spike down to $3,800, nearly halving the value; in the short term, the bears were right, but the subsequent major trend everyone saw was a peak at $100,000. I will always be a bull on ETH. My opinion is for reference only; I do not recommend going all in. #ETH

OKB's shakeout is almost done, and it has broken through. Now retail investors probably hold about 2 million worth of chips. The main issue with this coin is a bit awkward; OKX itself doesn't treat it like a favored child, and the staking yields are terribly low, which results in a very low market cap. We'll have to see how it develops in the future. Its only advantage is the low valuation.

Retail investors have no various advantages compared to high-frequency quantitative trading by various institutions, such as technical information resources, etc. So the only advantage for retail investors is time, with no profit pressure, so they should leverage their advantage by trading less. To make big money, it must be a major trend, and it must be a market with participation and dividends, so what we need to do is to judge whether it is a future major trend with dividends. From this perspective, the participation of traditional funds in the current crypto space is not high. The future story of ETH is very promising, as a fundamental financial infrastructure, and on-chain RWA is also developing rapidly. So my view is that ETH is a future major trend that retail investors can participate in, with great potential and high certainty.

In the short term, it looks a bit pessimistic again, but based on my contrarian emotional indicator, a market move might be coming, haha.

Currently, liquidity is all in the US stock market, and the top trading volumes on exchanges are all stocks. I don't think this is a bad thing. Crypto does have its significance; it's just that we happen to be at the bottom of the cycle right now. With Futu Tiger clearing out and CRS taxation, a lot of funds from outside the crypto circle are coming to exchanges to trade US stocks. Previously, there was a threshold for these funds to buy crypto, but after developing the habit of using USDT to buy US stocks, it becomes much easier to trade crypto later. This means that when the next crypto cycle comes, there will be more capital flowing into the crypto space, with a larger volume of funds than in previous bull markets. So, I am more optimistic about the upcoming crypto bull market; just be patient and wait.

The essence of trading is balancing your own greed and fear, and controlling your emotions. Buy in fear, sell in greed.

eth is really strong, probably there's some explanation

OKB used for copy trading cannot participate in staking, which is not very friendly to me and has wasted a lot of money.