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Damn SanDisk, if it doesn't pump, I don't even have a chance to add to my position

Everyone must be responsible for their own money. Making a profit isn't that impressive, and losses are normal. Use lower leverage first; aim to lose less or not lose at all before talking about making money. High leverage is a game for geniuses, but even geniuses can fall. If high leverage could make you rich, the platforms wouldn't allow it to exist.

ETH's hard-fought victory A few days ago, the account was still deeply stuck in a million-dollar unrealized loss. The market was filled with bearish voices everywhere; almost everyone was waiting to see a liquidation, with bearish sentiment prevailing as if a decline was an inevitable outcome. The expectation of the Federal Reserve's rate hike weighed heavily on the market, and regulatory news repeatedly caused disturbances. Every dip amplified the panic. During that period, the market repeatedly tested the mindset, with intraday spikes and dips challenging the conviction of holding positions. Countless market fluctuations almost led to panic-driven selling at the bottom. But understanding that trading inherently involves losses, with profit and loss sharing the same source, once choosing to be bullish, one must accept the severe drawdowns along the way; no market rally is a straight upward line. ETH had been declining steadily, hitting a low near 2356, with market sentiment extremely pessimistic and bears continuously increasing their positions. As the Federal Reserve's 25bp rate hike was implemented, the negative factors were fully realized, and the pessimistic expectations had already been priced in by the market. The concentrated short covering by bears drove a strong rebound, with a large bullish candle emerging on the 4-hour chart, pushing the price above 2570 and stabilizing above the previous resistance platform. Now the account has realized a significant unrealized profit, with the reversal coming unexpectedly. But a market reversal does not equal a one-sided bull market; there is still heavy trapped volume at the 2620 level, and pullbacks and shakeouts will continue during the rebound. High-leverage positions carry risks behind the glory, and profits can also be quickly wiped out by the market. The market never lacks voices eager to kick you when you're down; most people only want to see your failure. Only by enduring the torment of deep unrealized losses can you wait for the moment when adversity turns to prosperity.

ETH shows a clear rebound on the 4-hour chart, with the price standing above 2570, breaking through the previous resistance at 2484 in the short term, accompanied by increased trading volume. The Federal Reserve implemented a 25bp rate hike as expected, with the negative impact already priced in by the market's prior pessimistic expectations. The chart shows a previous dip to 2356 forming a stage bottom, with lows gradually rising. The EMA short-term moving averages are turning upward, indicating bulls currently hold short-term control. However, there is strong resistance near 2620, a previous dense chip area, which may lead to a pullback after a rally. On the news front, regulatory bill progress remains uncertain and continues to be a medium- to long-term variable affecting the market. Currently, this is a recovery rally after the negative factors have been fully absorbed, not a confirmed trend reversal. It is crucial to watch whether the 2484 support holds on any pullback; if this level is broken again, this rebound will likely end. Bullish positions in the derivatives market have somewhat increased, so be cautious of a rapid retracement caused by short-term profit-taking.

Looking at the essence through the phenomenon ⚠️ Only an objective market review, not investment advice The Federal Reserve announced a 25bp rate hike, with the dot plot releasing a hawkish signal, implying the possibility of another rate hike within the year. U.S. Treasury yields rose, and the dollar index strengthened. Coupled with the failure of the CLARITY Act vote, short-term regulatory optimism disappeared, with two major negative factors hitting simultaneously. From the market perspective, ETH did not experience a deep breakdown or crash and maintained oscillation within a key support range. In terms of capital, the market had already priced in this 25bp rate hike in advance. Before the hike was implemented, leveraged long positions had undergone a round of liquidation, easing selling pressure on the contract side. On-chain data shows continuous outflows of ETH from exchanges, with a large amount of tokens moving into staking addresses and cold wallets; no large-scale spot selling has occurred. Current core market variables: upcoming CPI, non-farm payroll, and other inflation and employment data will determine whether the market will reprice the next rate hike. On the regulatory front, progress on the CLARITY Act is temporarily stalled, and ETF-related narratives are on hold. Technical range reference: support at 2330-2370; resistance at 2440-2460. If support holds effectively, the market will maintain range-bound oscillation; if support is broken effectively, downward space will open; only by standing firm above resistance will a recovery rally start.

In the crypto circle, just licking once and running won't make you rich. The volatile market is very painful, and floating losses are even more painful. Once the grinding is over, you can make money. Don't scold me, brothers, I'm already feeling bad myself

Key news timing (Beijing Time, ⚠️ for reference only, not investment advice) 1. CLARITY Act Senate procedural vote (cloture to end debate) • US Eastern Time: 9-15 14:15 • Beijing Time: September 16, 02:15 AM Note: This is only a vote on whether to continue debate, not the final passage of the bill; 60 votes are needed. Results will come out quickly after the vote, but official announcement may be delayed 1-3 hours. Even if it passes, there will still be amendments and further votes; the legislation is still far from being finalized. 2. Federal Reserve September FOMC Meeting (9.16) • Decision + Dot Plot + SEP Economic Projections: Beijing Time September 17, 02:00 AM • Chair's Press Conference (most important, biggest market volatility): Beijing Time September 17, 02:30 AM Key reminders: 1. The bill vote is an emotional catalyst, lower priority than the Fed decision; 2. The Fed decision is at 2 AM, but the real big market moves usually happen during the 2:30 AM press conference; 3. US Congressional votes often get delayed, times may vary, follow real-time news for accuracy. Simple timeline • 9-16 02:15 AM | CLARITY Act procedural vote • 9-17 02:00 AM | Fed rate decision and dot plot release • 9-17 02:30 AM | Fed Chair press conference (biggest market variable)

Key news timing (Beijing Time, ⚠️ for reference only, not investment advice) 1. CLARITY Act Senate procedural vote (cloture to end debate) • US Eastern Time: 9-15 14:15 • Beijing Time: September 16, 02:15 AM Note: This is only a vote on whether to continue debate, not the final passage of the bill; 60 votes are needed. Results will come out quickly after the vote, but official announcement may be delayed 1-3 hours. Even if it passes, there will still be amendments and further votes; the legislation is still far from being finalized. 2. Federal Reserve September FOMC Meeting (9.16) • Decision + Dot Plot + SEP Economic Projections: Beijing Time September 17, 02:00 AM • Chair's Press Conference (most important, biggest market volatility): Beijing Time September 17, 02:30 AM Key reminders: 1. The bill vote is an emotional catalyst, lower priority than the Fed decision; 2. The Fed decision is at 2 AM, but the real big market moves usually happen during the 2:30 AM press conference; 3. US Congressional votes often get delayed, times may vary, follow real-time news for accuracy. Simple timeline • 9-16 02:15 AM | CLARITY Act procedural vote • 9-17 02:00 AM | Fed rate decision and dot plot release • 9-17 02:30 AM | Fed Chair press conference (biggest market variable)

$ETH Current Market Data Analysis ⚠️ Market review does not constitute investment advice; contract trading carries extremely high risk. Current price around 2513, 24-hour increase +1.24%, 24-hour range 2473~2612 USD. Short-term is in a consolidation window before the Fed's 9.16 interest rate meeting, with intensified long-short battles and volatility beginning to contract. 1. Core Market Data 1. Capital: ETH spot ETFs continue to see net inflows, diverging from BTC ETF outflows, indicating institutional funds rotating towards ETH; on-chain staking ratio rises to 34.7%, exchange-held ETH continues to decrease, tightening spot circulating supply, supporting long-term fundamentals. 2. Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart shows a converging triangle pattern, RSI near 58 in neutral zone, no overbought or oversold conditions; MACD momentum is weak, indicating consolidation without a clear trend. 3. Derivatives: Contract long and short positions are basically balanced. After the release of preliminary CPI data, many short positions have been covered and liquidated. Market funds are mainly waiting for the Fed decision, with reduced willingness to open new positions. 2. Key Price Levels • Short-term resistance: 2525-2535; after breaking through, test strong resistance at 2550-2560. Holding above 2560 can open upward space towards 2650. • Short-term support: 2475-2485, recent buying defense zone; if effectively broken, drop to 2430-2440, with core strong support at the 2400 level

Keep spiking a few more times, as more and more people run out of pins to connect, they probably won't turn back later on.