$LITE $COHR Leading optical module stocks plunge before earnings report, is this an entry window? The leading US optical module stocks $LITE and $COHR will release their quarterly reports after market close on August 11 and August 12 respectively. However, they both plunged yesterday, with LITE falling from a high of 937 to a low of 810, and COHR dropping from a high of 391 to a low of 325, down 13.6% and 16.9% respectively. Possible reasons for yesterday's plunge: LITE and COHR rebounded 57% and 77% respectively within two weeks, leading to significant profit-taking; They have entered a densely resistant zone with heavy trapped positions, combining profit-taking pressure with forced selling pressure, resulting in large potential selling pressure; Many companies have experienced sharp declines after earnings releases recently, so investors chose to reduce positions before earnings to avoid volatility from disappointing results or guidance. However, the medium- to long-term bullish logic for optical modules remains unchanged: • Explosive demand for 800G/1.6T from AI clusters, with volume and price rising together • Continued shortage of optical chips, with orders locked in through 2027-28 • Increasing value per GPU optical module • US domestic manufacturers benefiting from potential expectations of Chinese optical module import restrictions This recent plunge has released short-term selling pressure and instead provides a potential opportunity to increase positions. Of course, how to specifically increase positions still requires observing the details of the earnings guidance.

$SPCX Great investment! This round of SpaceX unlocks in batches, and the biggest winner is Google. According to the 13F filings, Google's parent company Alphabet invested $900 million in SpaceX in 2015, which has risen to a value of about $94.2 billion, accounting for approximately 95% of Google's public equity portfolio. Even though SpaceX's stock price has fallen now, it is still valued at $75 billion, with a book return of about 80 times.

$BTC BTC just had a spike down, then immediately pulled back up, now hovering around 64k. You can tell there's capital buying at the bottom, but the rebound strength is really average, and the resistance above is still there. These back-and-forth spikes are the most frustrating, with stop losses on both longs and shorts getting wildly triggered, making it easy to get chopped up. Feels like the short-term trend is still mainly sideways. Don’t get misled by sudden ups and downs; wait and see which direction it takes. After this spike, is everyone just watching, or have you already made a move? Do you think it can break up from here, or will it keep grinding?

$NVDA Jensen Huang is a mastermind! This $500 billion AI financing could reach trillions in the future. He orchestrated 5 key moves: 1. Turning $NVDA chips into assets Previously, Nvidia just sold GPUs. Now, chips + systems + software are packaged into infrastructure that can generate long-term rental income, like utilities such as water, electricity, and gas. 2. Bringing in Wall Street’s top players without spending his own money Goldman Sachs, BlackRock, Blackstone, KKR, Apollo, Brookfield—all have been called in. The $500 billion is all third-party long-term capital, with Nvidia providing zero guarantees or endorsements. Others bear the risk, while Nvidia controls the ecosystem. 3. Turning supply-demand imbalance into a capital cash machine The computing power gap is ridiculously large now: demand for large models has increased 7-fold in half a year, with chips, memory, power, and land all in short supply. AI token profits are shockingly high—whoever secures computing power can make big money! 4. Locking the entire upstream and downstream chain together From wafers, HBM memory, packaging, optical modules, to power, nuclear power, data centers, and construction workers, everything is tied together. Customers use Nvidia’s architecture, systems can be continuously upgraded, and the deeper the ecosystem, the wider the moat. 5. Laying the groundwork early for the next wave of physical AI and intelligent AI Right now, digital AI is just getting started, but intelligent AI is already exploding. The real big scenes will be robots, autonomous driving, and other physical AI. Jensen Huang has already opened the financing channels, so when the demand surge hits, others will still be looking for money, but Nvidia will have ready capital pools and customers. Nvidia not only sells the shovels but also lets Wall Street help sell them. This is a brilliant move!

$BTC $ETH $SOL I think tonight's CPI data shouldn't look bad So I added some positions again Mainly because I believe the CPI data should be okay, at least it won't exceed expectations. Regarding oil prices, although they rose in July, the average price wasn't much higher than in June. As for wages, last week's wage data showed both annual and monthly rates lower than previous values, especially the monthly rate which was significantly lower. Wages are an important component of goods and service costs. On consumption, the July consumer confidence index (preliminary) was lower than the previous value, indicating no demand growth pushing prices up. Regarding the "pubic hair theory," we previously discussed that the non-farm payroll data was a step for the Fed, and the Labor Department's CPI data should be similar. The goal is to prevent the Fed from raising interest rates in the near term.

$SPCX Last time I posted, SPCX was still hovering around 110+, and I said "It's a reasonable position to start adding in batches." From the intraday low of $106.66 on August 5 to the close of $133.11 on August 7, it rose nearly 25% in two days. On August 7, it peaked at $133.48 with a total volume of 240 million shares traded throughout the day. It continued to rise after hours; the previously feared unlocking did not cause a drop, but instead became the bottom. Our logic was completely correct. First, below 1.5 trillion is a reasonable position. The current market cap is 1.75 trillion, right within the originally defined "reasonable" range. When it dropped to 1.4 trillion, the market panicked so much. Looking back now, wasn’t that just a chance to pick up chips? Second, the fundamentals haven't changed; what changed is the sentiment. Q2 revenue was 7.81 billion, a year-over-year surge of 92%, with AI revenue at 2.6 billion, a 250% year-over-year increase. Starlink is still Starlink, and xAI’s computing power leasing is still profitable. During that month of market panic, the company didn’t change at all. Third, Duan Yongping selling puts around 1.5 trillion is not without reason. Using options to collect money at a reasonable position is much safer than directly betting on direction. Looking now, the put selling position is the phase bottom area. Fourth, don’t chase highs, but dare to enter in batches at reasonable positions. Didn’t chase at 170 on the listing day, started buying at 110+ this time. Two completely different decision logics, resulting in two completely different costs. You panic when it falls from 225 to 108, and chase when it rises from 108 to 133; the timing is always off. Wait until it crashes, then consider re-entering. When it’s a buying point, don’t be timid; when it’s a selling point, don’t be greedy.

$BTC "Set 10 big goals first" — The trader reduced 2,260 BTC, nearly wiping out over $4 million in unrealized gains😶 @Jason60704294 tweeted early morning that he "reduced two-thirds of his position above cost price." Previously, his long position was 3,528.152 BTC (about $225 million). After this reduction, he still holds $79.42 million, with an entry price of $63,967.54. He also reiterated his optimistic view on the mid-to-long-term trend of $BTC, considering around 58,000 as a phase bottom, and advised against following trades with high leverage. This guy is a real big shot. The volatility of one trade is equivalent to an ordinary person's lifetime.

$BTC $ETH $SOL Currently, Bitcoin has triggered another accumulation indicator. Sellers have entered the "extreme exhaustion zone" (red area), which is the first time in this bear market cycle. Comparing with historical data, similar situations have appeared in every past bear market cycle; sometimes more than once (marked as 1/2 in the chart). When point 1 appears, it may not be the absolute bottom of the bear market, but it is definitely within the bottom range. Subsequently, if the price fluctuates and holds steady or goes lower, but the index does not drop further, I mark it as 2; historically, the certainty of 2 is higher than 1. However, the risk is that the price at 2 could also be higher than at 1. Therefore, so far, it is possible to deploy part of your capital. At least, you should build a position of 30%

$SNDK $MU $SKHYNIX Why is SanDisk $SNDK the only one rising in the storage sector today? 1. The company's latest financial report remains outstanding. Revenue reached a record high of $8.97 billion, with data center business driven by AI demand growing 103% quarter-over-quarter to $2.98 billion. 2. Real cash stock buybacks. SanDisk repurchased about $4.5 billion worth of stock last quarter and still has $14.5 billion in buyback capacity. 3. Clear industry trend. The NAND market size is expected to grow from $300 billion in 2026 to $500 billion in 2027, and the company currently has demand visibility locked in for over four years.

$BTC Short-term outlook BTC's real body broke below the 6.44 support and found support at 6.38; it may consolidate again around 6.38 for a while to accumulate before pulling back, testing patience. The 6.44 level switched from support to resistance; currently, a breakout and stabilization above 6.44 faces pressure; Tomorrow night’s CPI data might bring a positive scenario. Looking back at last Friday’s non-farm payroll data, which was positive, BTC also showed wick movements up and down without volume-driven real body breakouts. If the 6.38 support is broken with a real body, follow the trend to roll positions, reinvesting 70% of profits into short positions. Even without positions, you can short following the trend, with a stop loss at the previous high of 6.54, targeting around 6.32 and 6.24. The 6.24 support remains valid; buy on dips with a stop loss at 6.16, targeting around 6.32 and 6.44 $BTC