还是那个王先生
还是那个王先生
星球创作者📝 | 合约爆仓常客💥 | 多币种持有者💎 | 无情交易员❄️
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Mr. Wang Talks Crypto | 2026.10.09
Today's Highlights: BTC holds steady at 81.7k, ETH rebounds to 2,475, SOL slightly up. Breez says AI coding agents have driven Bitcoin integration demand up about 14 times; this AI+Bitcoin narrative is quite strong. $BTC BTC current price 81,745, up 0.87%, bounced back from the low of 80,400. Breez says AI coding agents have driven Bitcoin integration demand up about 14 times, AI automation directly boosts Bitcoin use cases. Resistance above at 81,920, support below at 81,669; those wanting to enter should wait for a pullback near 81,000 before moving, exit if it breaks below 80,500. 📈 RSI6 reached 42, recovering from oversold, but rebound strength is not strong yet, waiting for volume confirmation. $ETH ETH current price 2,475, up 1.64%, rebounded from 2,406 to 2,587. On-chain options protocol Derive completed V3 migration, trading resumed, ecosystem infrastructure is being repaired. Resistance above at 2,483, support below at 2,465; those wanting to enter should wait for a pullback near 2,430 before moving, exit if it breaks below 2,400. 😴 RSI6 reached 49, neutral position, rebound just starting, waiting for stabilization signals. $SOL SOL current price 108.95, up 0.35%, pulled back from 105.71 to 112.90. Jump Crypto's Firedancer wallet staked 453,900 SOL, about 49.81 million USD, at institutional level
$BTC bottomed out and rebounded, so I reversed and opened a small long position to bet on the rebound 👊
After crashing to 80400 last night, Bitcoin sharply pulled back to 81879, with a slight 1.04% increase over 24 hours. MACD shows a bullish crossover at a low level, RSI6 has returned near 60, and the Bollinger Bands middle line at 81801 is underfoot, clearly indicating a short-term stabilization and rebound. 82781 is the resistance at the previous high above, and 80400 is the support at this wave's low.
Watching it slowly climb from the bottom, I reversed and opened a small long position today, betting that this correction is over and the rebound will continue. Breez reports that AI coding agents have driven a 14-fold surge in Bitcoin integration demand, which is a positive news signal. 80500 is the stop-loss line; if broken, I’ll accept the loss.
After a few days of decline, we finally see signs of a rebound.
Brothers, are you bottom-fishing with longs this time or still bearish? Can I catch the rebound with this trade? Let’s chat in the comments.🙈#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #波动雷达：币种异动观察 #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
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Snapshot at Oct 09, 2026, 08:34
What are the three conditions you must meet before opening a position?
My answer: I must meet three conditions before opening a position — in other words, three "don'ts."
First, don't go against the macro trend. When interest rate hike expectations are rising, the dollar is strengthening, and ETFs are flowing out, don't go long. Conversely, when rate cut expectations are rising and funds are flowing back, don't go short. The direction can be somewhat out of sync with the market rhythm, but it cannot go against the macro trend. Opening a position against the trend, no matter how high the win rate, is still gambling.
Second, don't enter trades with a risk-reward ratio below 2:1. Before entering, calculate clearly: where to place the stop loss and where the target is. If the space isn't enough, don't trade. Taking a risk of losing two units to gain one unit will lose in the long run. Better to miss out than to make a wrong trade.
Third, don't go full position, don't overleverage, don't go all-in. Position size must withstand short-term adverse fluctuations and not be forced to stop loss due to a single pullback. Even the right judgment can't be held if the position is too heavy. Keeping enough ammunition is more important than how much you earn in one trade.
Regarding $BTC now, in the 84,000 to 87,000 range, all three conditions are triggered — unclear macro direction, average risk-reward ratio, and increasing volatility. So my choice is: do nothing. Wait until conditions are met before acting. #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
The Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes are out, with all 19 members unanimously supporting a rate hike, but each giving different reasons.
Some say it's "insurance," worried about inflation picking up again and wanting to preemptively raise rates; others say it's "necessary," as the energy shock is spreading to goods and services. Unanimous support doesn't mean unanimous hawkishness, and this divergence was quickly amplified by the market.
The most noteworthy part of the minutes is that "most participants think another rate hike before year-end might be appropriate," but immediately added "an open attitude toward each meeting." To translate: the direction is set, but the timing is undecided.
The market understood this and immediately dropped the probability of a rate hike in October from 70% to below 20%. Williams and Jefferson successively said "there's no urgency," effectively telling the market not to rush to bet on October. Many institutions now lean toward pushing the next rate hike to December.
For $BTC, the pace of rate hikes has shifted from "continuous" to "wait and see," providing a breather window for risk assets. $BTC is currently stuck between 84,000 and 87,000, with the October 14 CPI being the next key test. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
Mr. Wang Talks Crypto｜2026.10.08
Today's key focus: $BTC, $ETH, $ZEC ① $BTC | Current price 83267, peaked at 85579 early morning, lowest retraced to 82700, nearly 2900 USD fluctuation, now back around 83267, down 0.17%. Trading volume 84,000 coins, trading value 7 billion. STOCHRSI around 21, price hovering near BOLL middle band at 83314, short-term weak bias. Failed to hold 85000, indicating significant resistance above. I see 83000 as short-term support, wait for a retracement to 82800-83000 to watch again, defense at 82000, upside expectation 84500-85500. ② $ETH | Current price 2568, early morning high touched 2699, lowest retraced to 2532, over 160 USD fluctuation, dropped together with BTC. Trading volume 2.99 million coins, trading value 7.681 billion. STOCHRSI around 35, price hovering near BOLL middle band at 2564. ETH dropped from 2699 to 2532 then bounced back to 2568, short-term oscillating between 2550-2600. Wait for a retracement to 2550-2560 to watch again, defense at 2480, upside expectation 2650-2700. ③ $ZEC | Current price 1322, yesterday's high 1371, low 1288, over 80 points fluctuation, now back around 1322, almost no movement. Trading volume 772,400 coins, trading value 1.021 billion. STOCHRS
$BTC The short position that held for several days has finally turned around. Entered at 83607, now the mark price is 82947, with an unrealized profit of nearly 8%. Finally climbed out of the red. No new positions opened today, just watching this one, ready to find an opportunity to close and take profits. Screenshot attached.
That's it for today, will check again tomorrow. Let's chat about your trades today in the comments. #创作者激励 #波动雷达：币种异动观察 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
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Snapshot at Oct 07, 2026, 23:25
The US ISM Services PMI for September reported 54.9, down 0.5 from August, but the price index rose from 72.6 to 74.0, the highest since July 2022, with all 17 industries reporting cost increases. The employment sub-index returned to 50.1, expanding for the first time in three months.
However, the nonfarm payrolls tell a completely different story: only 29,000 jobs were added in September, below the expected 85,000, with the previous two months revised down by a total of 60,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and average hourly earnings year-over-year growth slowed to 3.0%, the lowest since May 2021.
Daly stated on October 6 that she supports the September rate hike and will watch three shocks going forward—tariffs, Middle East oil prices, and AI demand—to see if they are temporary or persistently additive. She specifically mentioned AI, saying that chip price pressures may take one to three years to ease.
The minutes of the September meeting will be released at 2 a.m. tonight. The market wants to know how hawkish the internal stance was during the September hike. Wash had said it was hard to describe financial conditions as "restrictive," with the real rate based on overall PCE only 50 basis points. If the minutes are hawkish, the probability of an October hike will be repriced; if dovish, a pause will be confirmed. $BTC has been hovering around 86,000 these past two days, waiting for this.
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
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Snapshot at Oct 07, 2026, 20:56
Mr. Wang Talks Crypto | 2026.10.07
Today's highlights: BTC dropped directly from 86.6k to 83.5k, ETH fell below 2,600, and SOL retreated to 118. A survey shows that wealthy investors in the G7 countries hold about 10% of their portfolios in crypto, with most planning to continue increasing their allocations. $BTC BTC current price is 83,876, down 2.15%, dropping from 86,693 straight to 83,577. The survey shows wealthy investors in the G7 countries hold about 10% of their portfolios in crypto, with most planning to continue increasing allocations; long-term funds are still flowing in. Resistance above is 85,112, support below is 83,773. Those wanting to enter should wait for a pullback near 83,000 before moving; if it breaks below 82,500, exit. 📉 RSI6 is only 11, the drop was too sharp, so a short-term rebound is needed, but don't rush to buy; wait for stabilization signals. $ETH ETH current price is 2,615, down 3.20%, dropping from 2,725 to 2,590. Trader @frogmanhaha's wallet was reportedly hacked, with about $4 million in assets transferred; hackers are still targeting large holders. Resistance above is 2,677, support below is 2,611. Those wanting to enter should wait for a pullback near 2,580 before moving; if it breaks below 2,540, exit. ⚠️ RSI6 is only 11, oversold like BTC, wait for the market to stabilize before considering. $SOL SOL current price is 118.31, down 1.81%, dropping from 122 to 117. Also affected by the @frogmanhaha hack incident, the SOL ecosystem is under pressure as well. Resistance above is 120.04, support below is 117.
$BTC took a big plunge, and the short position I've been holding for days finally broke even 👊
Today, Bitcoin dropped straight from 86693 to 83577, down 2.12%. The MACD green bars expanded, RSI6 dropped to 13.69, RSI12 only 16, extremely oversold. This wave of selling was fast and fierce. The lower Bollinger Band at 83779 was directly breached, and the bulls didn't even have the strength to resist.
The short position I was stuck in a few days ago finally saw daylight! From floating losses to today, I finally broke even and even made some profit. 83577 is the low point of this wave; RSI has dropped to the teens, so a short-term rebound could happen at any time. I'm planning to close out most of my position around 83500 to lock in profits and see if the rest can test 83000 again.
News surveys show that wealthy investors in the G7 hold about 10% of their portfolios in crypto, most planning to increase allocation, with a long-term bullish bias, but short-term oversold rebound risks need to be guarded against.
Brothers, did you profit from this plunge? Should I close all my position or keep a little? Let's chat in the comments.🙈#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #波动雷达：币种异动观察 #创作者激励
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Snapshot at Oct 07, 2026, 10:47