天才交易员绿小勤
天才交易员绿小勤
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On the night of October 11, BTC quickly dropped from about $121,000, with intraday lows across exchanges ranging between $102,000 and $110,000. On-chain derivatives exchanges liquidated approximately $10.3 billion that night, making it the platform with the largest liquidation scale. Although the price rebounded afterward, it continued to fluctuate downward over the following months. By the end of 2025, BTC had fallen below $90,000. In February this year, BTC dropped from $97,000 to $62,900 in less than three weeks, and on June 30 hit a new yearly low of $58,500, representing a maximum drawdown of about 54% from the all-time high. Compared to previous bear markets, this round's drawdown was relatively moderate. In past cycles, BTC's drop from peak to trough generally exceeded 75%. Entering the second half of the year, BTC gradually recovered, surpassing $75,000 again in September, and as of the October 10 report, it was around $82,700, still about 34% below the peak. Opinions differ on whether the bottom has already appeared. Based on technical signals, market positioning, and macro factors, the cycle low may have occurred in June; analyst Benjamin Cowen believes the market might retest the low again in October. Looking at the overall market, according to CoinGecko data, the total crypto market cap has dropped from $4.29 trillion a year ago to $2.88 trillion. #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC
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Snapshot at Oct 11, 2026, 00:40
Tom Lee, Chairman of Ethereum treasury company Bitmine, stated in an interview that Ethereum is expected to rise to between $25,000 and $50,000 in this cycle. He believes that ETH has been oscillating within a similar range over the past five years, and the continuous bottoming may lay the foundation for a larger breakthrough later. Tom Lee also expects ETH's price to exceed $5,000 by the end of the year, noting that if Bitcoin rises above $100,000, ETH could reach about $7,500. However, market forecast data shows that traders currently believe the probability of ETH rising to $5,000 by the end of 2026 is only 4%#新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC
-2,536.49%
Snapshot at Oct 10, 2026, 22:44
Bitcoin's current trend is quite similar to the market pattern from the end of 2025 to early 2026, with prices fluctuating around the capital-weighted cost basis. According to analysis, this capital-weighted cost basis is currently approximately $80,500. Unlike the realized price that only calculates the purchase price, this indicator weights the holding cost by the scale of invested funds, thus it is regarded as an important area to measure the market's average profit and loss status. Darkfost points out that the current area is a key pivot where investors are on average at the critical point between profit and loss, and market uncertainty may prompt more investors to take action. This level still acts as support for now, but the subsequent trend requires continued attention. #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC
-2,537.67%
Snapshot at Oct 10, 2026, 22:43
The high leverage and crowded trading risks exposed by the crypto market crash in October 2025 still persist, and similar events may occur again in the market. Since last year's epic "1011 crash," Bitcoin, after reaching a historical high of about $126,000, quickly dropped from around $122,000 to $105,000, triggering approximately $1.9 billion in liquidations in the crypto market. Mark Connors, head of RiskDimensions, stated that the market top formed very rapidly at that time, with open interest near historical highs, and many traders betting on Bitcoin continuing its four-year cycle bull run, ultimately leading to losses when the market reversed. This crash was mainly driven by the derivatives market rather than changes in on-chain demand, indicating that leveraged positions can still dominate Bitcoin's price movements in the short term. #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC
-2,555.30%
Snapshot at Oct 10, 2026, 19:26
Buyers have been absorbing selling pressure during the recent pullback, similar to the pattern seen in the previous consolidation range, while there is very little support below the current price level. The market order book shows a strong accumulation of buy orders just above $80,000, with buyers showing firm conviction. This price level is also an important psychological barrier for Bitcoin. If Bitcoin's weekly candle closes above last week's low (at $82,600) this week, it will be a bullish signal, possibly representing a typical return to the range after a stop-loss hunt. Killa, a quantitative trader focused on BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at $74,688 and switched to long positions during the broad market decline on June 5. #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC
-2,552.52%
Snapshot at Oct 10, 2026, 16:55
BTC current price is $82,720. The thickest order book currently is Binance spot: buy orders at $11,612,200, sell orders at $7,655,400, with buy orders exceeding sell orders by $3,956,800. Coinbase spot buy orders also exceed sell orders but are smaller in scale than Binance spot. If large buy or sell orders suddenly appear, exchanges with thinner order books will be affected first, causing more noticeable price fluctuations. #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC
-2,560.99%
Snapshot at Oct 10, 2026, 15:02
On October 10, during the BTC pullback on October 8, the previously dominant $50 million buy wall supporting the $81,000–$81,500 range was actively withdrawn as the price approached, and the plan to absorb the supply was immediately lowered. Meanwhile, two previously tracked major players have both taken profits by reducing their long positions, with one completely liquidating. That night, BTC briefly dropped to $81,281, just $47 (about 0.058%) away from a massive buy order at $81,234. However, the account did not wait for the trade to execute and canceled the entire order about 3 minutes later, instead placing a new buy order of approximately $47.43 million at $77,888, lowering the absorption price by about 4.1% (0xf517).
With the $50 million buy wall withdrawn, the near-term support advantage that relied on this order disappeared. BTC subsequently fell below the original order price and further dropped to $80,351 in the early hours of the next day. The previously seemingly dominant buy side ultimately failed to provide support at the originally intended level. It was specifically noted earlier in the text that the support advantage in the $81,000–$81,500 range heavily depended on this order: "If this order is canceled and all other conditions remain unchanged, this range will shift from a net buy of $21.3 million to a net sell of about $28.7 million." #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC
-2,564.87%
Snapshot at Oct 10, 2026, 12:15
Crypto market sentiment slightly recovers, with "Big Brother Maji" Huang Licheng's address holding 12,000 ETH long positions, unrealized losses narrowed to $640,000, entry price at $2,547.66, liquidation price at $2,454.22.
His address lost $7.2 million in the past 7 days, with cumulative losses reaching $33.97 million. #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC $ETH
-2,563.34%
Snapshot at Oct 10, 2026, 13:12
An address received 263 ETH from Tornado Cash yesterday, then exchanged it for about 643,000 USDC and deposited it into Hyperliquid.
The address shorted 305.5 BTC with 40x leverage on full position, with a position size of about 25.38 million USD, an opening average price of 83,068 USD, a liquidation price of 84,088 USD, and a current floating profit of about 160,000 USD. The address's funds involve Tornado Cash, but it is not yet confirmed whether it is related to hacker activity. #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC $ETH
-2,574.93%
Snapshot at Oct 10, 2026, 11:31
Multiple traders have pointed out that $82,500 is the watershed that will determine the subsequent structure. Rekt Capital repeatedly emphasizes that whether the weekly candle can hold above this level will decide if Bitcoin returns to the macro accumulation range of $60,000 to $80,000 or continues to build an early re-accumulation range; if the weekly candle closes below it and it turns into resistance, a right shoulder structure may form. Daan Crypto Trades notes that only after reclaiming $83,000 will the mid-range axis and previous highs have a chance to become active again; otherwise, bears still dominate. Some voices focus on the acceptance between $80,000 and $80,400, as well as the reference support around $75,000 below. Timothy Peterson, based on historical retracement statistics, believes that once it stands above about $88,000 (the 30% retracement from the previous high), the probability of a new high significantly increases, with a historical hit rate close to 100% #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC
-2,579.73%
Snapshot at Oct 10, 2026, 08:46